The Stackelberg Trap and how Europe must deal with the American criminal enterprise, China & Russia

Continuing the series:

The Reckoning: A European Strategy For an Unstable World

1. The Stackelberg Trap — Europe Nearly Always Follows
2. The Opium Wars, Ambiguity & Chinese Realignment
3. A Network of Criminal Enterprises
4. Securing The Lagrange Point
5. The Age-Old Russia Question
6. Footnotes

" It is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the most intelligent, but the one most responsive to change."

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Part 1: The Search for a Stable Orbit and the Mathematics of Human Survival

The fourth article in the European Reckoning series. Following on from:

The Rape of Europa: Sovereignty, Security & The Ethical Tech Opportunity

Overview

The era of American security guarantees, which formed the bedrock of European stability since WW2, has transitioned into a “three-body problem” of unstable unpredictable gravitational interactions between Washington, Beijing, and Brussels. The war in Ukraine has accelerated Russian decline and it has been drawn closer to the Chinese geopolitical mass.

Geopolitics, Technology, and Democratic Governance

The third article in the European Reckoning series. Following on from:

Europe United ? - The union is born

The Rape of Europa (c. 1560-62), Titian

Introduction

Europe is in great danger, it faces a moment of profound vulnerability (Titian ’s ‘Rape of Europa’ seemed apt).

1. Introduction – Geopolitical Competition
2. What is AI?
3. AI and Warfare
4. Current Applications of Warfare AI
5. China’s Rapid Ascent in AI
6. The US-Israel Alliance
7. Europe’s Emphasis on Ethical AI
8. Russia’s Pursuit of AI Amidst Sanctions
9. Spotlight on Russia-Ukraine: The Drone Wars
10. The Ethics of AI Warfare
11. Evolutionary AI - the law of unintended consequences
12. Conclusion
13. Footnotes

AI image

Russia, Israel, the USA and the far-right in Europe

1. Introduction
2. A new Axis powers?
3. United Nations vote
4. What is the European far-right?
5. What drives this rise of extremism?
6. The rise of the hard/far-right
7. Israel: Likud, Kahanism & the rise of a fascist state
8. Israel and Europe
9. Trump, MAGA & Russia
10. Russia’s involvement in Europe
11. Hungary: a key node
12. America’s influence
13. The UK (and Brexit)
14. An alliance of cannibals
15. Empathy
16. Footnotes

Introduction

This is an unofficial companion article to the recent European EEAS Report on Foreign Information Manipulation and Interference Threats.1

Dedicated toHossam Shabbat and all the Palestinian journalists killed in Gaza.

“...empires rise and fall at a wave of the pointer, the blood is blotted out - And only one small boy, who was not paying the least attention, will ask between two victorious wars: and did it hurt in those days too?”

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The second article in the European Reckoning series. Following on from:

Europe Is On The Menu

Introduction

Do you remember where you were when the union of Europe finally began?

It wasn’t in 1957 or even 1993.

It was the 27th of February 2025: the day that President Zelenskyy of Ukraine went to the White House and was ambushed live on TV1 by some mafia thugs. Terrorists in suits.

The first article in the European Reckoning series.

“**I’m here today to directly and unambiguously express that stark strategic realities prevent the United States from being the primary guarantor of security in Europe. ”**1

US Secretary of Defence, February 12, 2025.

AI Podcast Version

I have also created an AI podcast version (if you are interested in trying it out):